AGP Executive Report
Last update: 8 hours agoUS-Iran Escalation: The ceasefire is effectively collapsing as the US expands strikes on Iran, hitting bridges, ports and other infrastructure, while Iran retaliates across the Gulf and beyond—raising fears the Strait of Hormuz crisis is sliding toward a longer, harder conflict. Regional Fallout in Iraq: Iran-linked attacks and drone activity keep spilling into Iraq’s security picture, including reports of drones shot down near Erbil and a foiled weapons-smuggling attempt toward Hezbollah via Syria that Baghdad is now investigating. Energy Pressure on Baghdad: With Hormuz traffic disrupted, Iraq leans on alternative routes—Turkey and Iraq are nearing a 12-month extension of the Kirkuk-to-Ceyhan crude pipeline deal to prevent another export bottleneck. US-Iraq Political Pivot: President Trump welcomed Iraqi PM Ali al-Zaidi and signaled expectations for Baghdad to curb Iran-backed armed groups tied to PMF, while Iraq also pushes US investment to reduce reliance on Iranian gas. Militia Threats: An Iraqi resistance umbrella group renewed its $10 million bounty offer tied to killing Trump, underscoring how the regional war is feeding into Iraq’s internal political and security tensions.
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